The goal of this thesis is to develop novel methods for the analysis of financial data by using hidden Markov models based approaches. The analysis focuses on univariate and multivariate financial time series, modeling interrelationships between financial returns throughout different statistical methods, such as graphical models, quantile and expectile regressions. The dissertation is divided into three chapters, each of them examining different classes of assets returns for a comprehensive risk analysis. The methodologies we propose are illustrated using real-world data and simulation studies.

New insights on hidden Markov models for time series data analysis

FORONI, BEATRICE
2023

Abstract

The goal of this thesis is to develop novel methods for the analysis of financial data by using hidden Markov models based approaches. The analysis focuses on univariate and multivariate financial time series, modeling interrelationships between financial returns throughout different statistical methods, such as graphical models, quantile and expectile regressions. The dissertation is divided into three chapters, each of them examining different classes of assets returns for a comprehensive risk analysis. The methodologies we propose are illustrated using real-world data and simulation studies.
14-giu-2023
Inglese
Em algorithm; energy commodities; graphical models; asymmetric laplace distribution; asymmetric normal distribution; expectile regression; quantile regression; elliptical copula
PETRELLA, Lea
CELATA, Filippo
Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza"
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14242/87031
Il codice NBN di questa tesi è URN:NBN:IT:UNIROMA1-87031